Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 7.245467 8.030305 8.907263 9.968429 11.229558 12.695721 1.455222e+01
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.026089 7.048019 8.289717 9.942675 12.139313 15.043207 1.933232e+01
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.244793 6.334144 7.727254 9.698876 12.525592 16.628253 2.347391e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.766019 5.900501 7.410910 9.657827 13.093728 18.515623 2.869043e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.392302 5.546023 7.132630 9.592393 13.567685 20.330953 3.454563e+01
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.188205 5.392520 7.103387 9.870885 14.614656 23.391716 4.452845e+01
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.861846 5.031389 6.726183 9.541365 14.552817 24.360795 5.040358e+01
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.573985 4.700656 6.359714 9.176082 14.350703 24.980473 5.583271e+01
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.355339 4.454202 6.098080 8.949892 14.360915 26.054407 6.350760e+01
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.205599 4.298845 5.963038 8.920939 14.742859 28.098055 7.651166e+01
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.201625 4.362456 6.178902 9.536213 16.559010 34.432564 1.167828e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.141337 4.332991 6.237944 9.869638 17.854209 40.086830 1.701660e+02
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.976763 4.139762 6.025897 9.698864 18.061538 42.936824 2.206650e+02
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.846218 3.995081 5.889121 9.668991 18.637675 47.576637 3.220915e+02
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.697548 3.810647 5.666698 9.434953 18.644102 50.217630 4.335922e+02
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.591742 3.689666 5.545977 9.395553 19.159744 55.407066 7.045218e+02
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.492149 3.572567 5.422208 9.332745 19.600301 60.782100 1.258474e+03
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.444534 3.539494 5.448241 9.600004 21.084089 73.208760 5.264682e+03
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.326895 3.380250 5.227478 9.283758 20.704975 74.892506 1.167824e+04
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.213424 3.223041 5.001233 8.932937 20.148558 75.157306 2.851786e+04
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.123905 3.103284 4.839035 8.715566 19.987240 78.100549 1.247801e+06
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.062743 3.029939 4.760836 8.687734 20.458184 86.359026 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.073724 3.083214 4.930669 9.278812 23.301913 120.799669 NaN